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Banking Expert: Bailout Not Necessary, Industry Can Take Losses

Posted on September 25, 2008

Here’s an interesting interview with banking industry expert, Bert Ely, who says that the banking industry can handle this mess internally and does not need subsidies.
http://us1.institutionalriskanalytics.com/pub/IRAMain.asp

Some interesting quotes:

I have run the numbers looking at the capacity of the industry to pay the tab. Assuming that bank insolvency losses don’t get way out of line, which I don’t think they will, then the industry can handle it. It’s not going to be cheap, but the banks can handle it and clean up their own mess. The losses will feed back through the industry to depositors and borrowers in the form of lower rates on deposits and higher cost of loans.

Look, all of the fallout we are seeing in the markets today is part of clearing the detritus from the last speculative bubble. The housing bubble has to be allowed to collapse in order to clear the markets. We have a very necessary correction process underway. But this process creates a lot of pain and loss. I don’t like that, but we have to clean up the mess and take the pain in order to get the economy back into balance. In collapsing bubbles you have collapsing companies. Japan tried to muddle through and they had a lost decade. I hope we are not going to do that.

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