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Getting Back to Stocks: ROSE Looks Interesting

Monday, April 13th, 2009

ROSE, a natural gas play, looks interesting at current prices.

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Three Factors That May Cause a Reversal of the Bank Stock Rally

Wednesday, March 18th, 2009

By understanding the factors that will undermine the new bullish bank meme, I think it will possible to trade profitably around this new rally.

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AIG Bailout Fraud: Dire Consequences?

Monday, March 16th, 2009

At this point, it is very hard to see how there is a way out of what is clearly a continuing massive fraud at AIG without another major disruption in the financial markets.

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The Fundamental Instability of Capitalism is Upwards

Thursday, February 19th, 2009

In re-reading Minsky’s fabulous book of essays, “Can It Happen Again”, which deals with the possibility of another Great Depression, I came across this excellent quote which I think conveys a truth that investors need to remember:
“The fundamental instability of capitalism is upwards. “

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A Few Long Stock Ideas in the MicroCap Value Space

Monday, February 16th, 2009

Here are a few investment ideas for those who enjoy speculating in the micro cap value arena.

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Geithner’s Plan: Quick Take and Strategy

Tuesday, February 10th, 2009

Here’s my quick take on Geithner’s bailout plan, which is far more important to the Markets than Obama’s stimulus plan.

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Financial Frankenstein: Why the Government Stimulus Won’t Help Us Contain the Financial Monster

Monday, February 9th, 2009

Perhaps the best analogy for the current financial crisis is Mary Shelly’s Frankenstein. Like, Victor Frankenstein, despite our initially benevolent motives, we have lost control of our creation, and have unleashed a monster.

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Graham Update (GHM)

Friday, January 30th, 2009

This is an update to our last post on GHM, based on the company’s earnings today. Good report, but dismal guidance, a typical trend nowadays. A potentially great turnaround is in the making, though, as the downturn accelerates.

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Recent Comments:

  • Yehuda Hi Thomas, "the obvious way to modify a mortgage is to leave the principal alone, stretch out the... >>Read More

  • Thomas J. Costagliola Yehuda, Maybe it is just me, but it seems that the obvious way to modify a mortgage... >>Read More

  • Thanks Appreciate your reply. Perhaps the challenge of estimating the degree to which given expectations... >>Read More

  • Yehuda Fruchter I agree, "better than expected", which is why it is important to only look at distressed... >>Read More

  • Thanks Thanks. The quote is a great reminder of Lynch's approach. Should it be qualified somewhat: "If... >>Read More